Passing Bull 328 –The problem with George

Some people attract the label ‘Teflon’ because no dirt seems to stick to them.  Some have a different problem.  They cannot open their mouth without putting their foot it in it. 

George Pell is in the latter group.  He gave an address to the faithful that he and The Australian thought it would be a good idea to have published in that paper.  It is full of the political views and the clubby language that you expect from that source – such as the lament that ‘social conservatives’ are ‘regularly assailed by the woke activists even in sport.’  (Three cheers for Izzy!) 

You would have to ask George to explain why going on that kind of training run in the company of Rupert Murdoch and his litigious son helps bear witness to the Jewish hasid who got put away as an activist – and set aside some time for George’s response – but here is another observation of George to the faithful.

…any Western society that is based on the premise of equality before the law and ascribes a common dignity to each person, citizen, or foreigner, productive or dependent, young and healthy or old and dependent – such a society can continue only when sustained by Christian ideals of universal love, often expressed as human rights, derived from a creator God.

It is not clear whether George believes that only Christianity can be the source for such a view of dignity and equality.  His remarks that a ‘post-Christian instinct or sympathy can suffice’ does not help resolve that issue – and we can put to one side ‘creator’.  But let’s proceed on the footing that George says you can source belief in equality and common dignity from Kant and the Enlightenment or Christianity. 

The question then is: which brand of Christianity?  The church of England is splitting in public over such issues.  And if it is George’s brand, then women and gay people do not have rights to equality and common dignity. 

And that is most certainly the case with Izzy’s brand.  Saying that gay people go to hell is not the way to share common dignity or universal love.  That’s the way you empty churches – a subject acknowledged by George, but not explained.  That’s a pity.  He has first-hand knowledge of the matter.

Elsewhere the press commented on another member of the faithful – although this time, of a fearfully different brand.  A well-respected member of the Liberal Party, and a former minister, disclosed that she had been responsible for sacking Scott Morrison from a position of public trust.  The ground was that he could not be trusted.  The Liberal Party sat on this by saying he left after a ‘personality clash’. 

Has it come to this?  A wife catches her husband in bed with another man, or woman, and shoots both of them.  A Russian commissar has issues with a village of kulaks and liquidates the village.  Do we just dismiss each as a ‘personality clash’?

Politics – religion – Pell – RC Church – Church of England – equality – gay rights.

Leaders and the mob

In a book called Terror and the Police State, the author says:

It is haunting how our evil acts so consistently – for both the hunter and the prey – when we become mere animals.  There are three characteristics of these crazy but evil authoritarian states.  First, they must have a leader with absolute power, more absolute than any mere Tsar, Bourbon, or Stuart.  Secondly, all thinking is banned – when all else fails, just turn up the hate.  Thirdly, the leaders put themselves and their security before the interests of their people.

You can see references to these elements in people like Napoleon, Stalin and Hitler – although the French never got close to banning thinking – not least because Napoleon came to power after the Terror – during which you could lose your head for doing little more than doing just that.

Before looking at what history may say about current events in the U S, we might reflect on why Trump or his like could not expect to get elected here – or in England, Germany, France – or any other country that is sensibly governed.  Put to one side that trump is a property developer with many enemies and a reputation for dishonesty and untrustworthiness, and a private life as gruesome as any in Hollywood.  He evaded doing military service and paying tax.  No such person could be forward for preselection here.

Nor could such a person seek to hold an office here which the law says can only be held by people of integrity.  It would for example be silly to suggest that Trump could be awarded a licence to sell gaming machines.  He would be disqualified on at least the ground that so many of those people with whom he has associated have been sentenced to jail terms for dishonesty.  For that reason alone, he would never be appointed to the board of a major public company. 

(I have some experience on this point.  About thirty years ago, I had to decide whether an American gaming machine maker should get a licence here.  One objection was that which is stated above.  In the end, we did not have to decide it.  The applicant admitted to lying on one occasion to a U S regulator on an aspect of his business.  That was enough in our view to disqualify him.)

People in France and elsewhere still talk about the ‘Dreyfus affair.’  A Jewish officer in the French army was found guilty of espionage and sentenced to long exile.  There is no doubt that the main evidence was concocted, but the conviction was affirmed and the controversy bitterly divided France for many years.  Those against Dreyfus were led by the army and the Jesuits – two castes given to fighting wars.  People followed their lead by ignoring the evidence or accepting hogwash in response. 

The ailment of the French involved much more than a prejudice against and jealousy of the Jews.  At about the time the Rothschilds were helping Disraeli acquire the Suez Canal for his queen, the French were getting ready to shaft the Jews for their alleged role in a scandal about a botched development of the Panama Canal.

Hannah Arendt looked at this in The Origins of Totalitarianism.  In France there was a clear alliance between the army and the Jesuits.  The common target was the Jewish community.

These parasites upon a corrupt body served to provide a thoroughly decadent society with an exceedingly dangerous alibi.  …  It did not matter to them that the corruption of the body politic had started without the help of Jews; that the policy of businessmen (in a bourgeois society to which Jews had not belonged) and their ideal of unlimited competition had led to the disintegration of the state in party politics; that the ruling classes had proved incapable any longer of protecting their own interests, let alone those of those of the country as w hole.  The antisemites who called themselves patriots introduced that new species of national feeling which consists primarily in a complete whitewash of one’s own people and a sweeping condemnation of all others. (Emphasis added.)

That looks spot on – and its relevance to the U S now is immediately apparent.

The Catholic Church faces big questions about its dealings with Napoleon, Mussolini, Hitler and Franco.  Arendt says that the Jesuits took the lead against the Jews.  Ancient statutes – going back to 1593 – banned all Christians of Jewish descent from the Society.  Later, the novice only had to prove that he had no Jewish blood going back to the fourth generation.

The Jews were OK in France provided that they knew their place.  Then they got uppity.  And in the caste of the army – whose ancestors had fought the fatherland during the revolutionary wars.  As ever, the forces of reaction were gratified by the hierarchy in the Church.  For many, the hierarchic system of the church was the antidote to chaos and anarchy.  And the Church was seeking to recover from the belting it took in the revolution. 

But when the Jews began seeking equality in the army, they came face to face with the determined opposition of the Jesuits who were not prepared to tolerate the existence of officers immune to the influence of the confessional.

Arendt says the Jesuits had the direction of the Church’s international policy.  One devout member proclaimed – ‘By the will of democracy, all Frenchmen are to be soldiers.  By the will of the Church, Catholics only are to hold the chief commands.’

It got so bad that Gentiles refused to act as seconds in duels with Jews.

What, if anything, had the revolution achieved?  What, if anything, had become of the Enlightenment?  Has the world seen a greater affront to liberty, equality, and fraternity?  Or do such grand phrases always portend pure bullshit?

Now, that church is not heavily involved in the US political collapse.  But Protestant Evangelicals are in it up to their necks – and what a sleazy lot they are.  At a time when Australians get new evidence every day of the damage done to our body politic by a Hillsong zealot who truly knew not what he did.

And in the US, the Jews are not the main target.  They are reserved for the refuse at the bottom of the uprising.  For the most part, those who support Trump have missed out, and they want to take it out on others they think they can look down on – people of colour, Latin migrants, people with different sexuality, and those who are just too bloody smart.  And their nightmare is that the blacks and Latinos will have the numbers – and the descendants of the Puritans will have no one to look down on – or look up to.

So, it is time to raise up the mob.

While the people in all great revolutions fight for true representation, the mob will always shout for the ‘strong man’, the ‘great leader’.  For the mob hates society from which it is excluded, as well as Parliament where it is not represented.  …..

There is the MAGA motley in all its miserable fury.  But let us stay with France.

There can be no doubt that in the eyes of the mob, the Jews came to serve as an object lesson for all the things they detested…While it is a mistake to assume that the mob preys only on Jews, the Jews must be accorded first place among its victims…Excluded as it is from society and political representation, the mob turns of necessity to extra parliamentary action.

The violence became so much worse.  There were ‘rival gangs of charlatans squabbling for recognition by the rabble.’  And people who should have known better were manipulating the mob with the zeal of manic puppeteers.

Every stroke of the [pro Dreyfus side] was followed by more or less violent disturbance on the streets.  The organisation of the mob by the General Staff was remarkable.  The trail leads straight from the army to the Libre Parole….and all accounts agree that if Zola, when once charged, had been acquitted, he would never have left the courtroom alive.

For Parole Libre, read Fox News; for Zola, read Mike Pence – with apologies to Zola. 

Someone said it was no longer a ‘question whether Dreyfus is innocent or guilty, but only of who will win, the friends of the army or its foes.’  And remember there was no real issue of fact about the innocence of Dreyfus. 

Just as there is no issue about who won the last presidential election.

In discussing the rise of populist leaders between the two world wars, Arendt described ‘the temporary alliance between the mob and the elite’.  She referred to their ‘failure in professional and social life’ and their ‘perversion and disaster in private life.  That sounds familiar.

The fact that their lives prior to their political careers had been failures, naively held against them by the more respectable leaders of the old parties, was the strongest factor in their mass appeal.

As I follow it, Trump says that he had no tax to pay because of the losses he took in business failures.  He said that was clever.

The temporary alliance between the elite and the mob rested largely on this genuine delight with which the former watched the latter destroy respectability…  The object…was always to reveal official history as a joke, to demonstrate a sphere of secret influences of which the visible, traceable, and known historical reality was only the outward façade erected explicitly to fool the people…the difference between truth and falsehood may cease to be objective and become a mere matter of power and cleverness, of pressure and infinite repetition.

Chapter and verse for Trump.  Then there was the man who said ‘When I hear the word culture, I draw my revolver.’   Arendt finishes this section with a bell-ringer.

Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.

There you have Betsy DeVos and those other crackpots and lightweights in that preposterous Loony Tune outfit called the Trump Cabinet – whose members prostrated themselves to their leader after the manner of those who do the same for Kim – the serial killer with whom their leader fell in love.

Kafka did miss the best parts. 

In Terror and the Police State, the author says:

In retrospect, it is the intolerance of those at the head of these regimes that might be their dominant common characteristic.  They were zealots, and they were pathfinders, and they knew that they had real enemies, and they were disposed to conjure up many more.  They were, as we have seen, politically inexperienced or immature.  They were cast iron ‘black or white’ people.  They could only deal in absolutes.  They were incapable of anything like what John Keats called ‘negative capability’ – when someone is capable ‘of being in uncertainties, mysteries, doubts, without any irritable reaching after fact and reason.’  You are either for us or against us – but the choice has terminal consequences – if you get it wrong, you are dead. 

The death there is merely political – as Ms Cheney has now discovered. 

But these sorts of divisions have been with us since we got clear of the apes.  Here is one version.

To fit in with the change of events, words, too, had to change their usual meanings.  What used to be described as a thoughtless act of aggression was now regarded as the courage one would expect to find in a party member; to think of the future and wait was merely one way of saying that you were a coward; any idea of moderation was just an attempt to disguise one’s unmanly character; an ability to understand a question from all sides meant that one was totally unfitted for action.  Fanatical enthusiasm was the mark of a real man, and to plot against an enemy behind his back was perfectly legitimate self-defence.  Anyone who held violent opinions could always be trusted, and anyone who objected to them became a suspect.  To plot successfully was a sign of intelligence, but it was still cleverer to see that a plot was hatching.  If one attempted to provide against having to do either, one was disrupting the unity of the party and acting out of the fear of the opposition.  In short, it was equally praiseworthy to get one’s blow in first against someone who was going to do wrong, and to denounce someone who had no intention of doing any wrong at all…

Love of power, operating through greed and personal ambition, was the cause of all these evils.  To this must be added the violent fanaticism which came into play once the struggle had broken out.  Leaders of the parties in the cities had programs which appeared admirable – on the one side, political equality for the masses, on the other the safe and sound government of the aristocracy – but in professing to serve the public interest, they were seeking to win the prizes for themselves.  In their struggles for ascendancy, nothing was barred, and in taking revenge they went further still…

As a result of these revolutions, there was a general deterioration of character throughout the Greek world…Society had become divided into two ideologically hostile camps, and each side viewed the other with suspicion. 

That was written by Thucydides more than two and a half millennia ago. 

If you want a more recent account of how leaders engage with mob, go to Henry VI (Part 2), Julius Caesar, and Coriolanus.  This playwright knew all about the mob and he will take your breath away.  You even get a taste of ‘birtherism’.  With Jack Cade, the claim is up-market rather than down-market – but the fiction is as inane as the tripe that was promoted by Trump.  Perhaps his obsession with ‘witch-hunts’ comes from the fact that he so often acts like a witch.

Leaders and the mob

In a book called Terror and the Police State, the author says:

It is haunting how our evil acts so consistently – for both the hunter and the prey – when we become mere animals.  There are three characteristics of these crazy but evil authoritarian states.  First, they must have a leader with absolute power, more absolute than any mere Tsar, Bourbon, or Stuart.  Secondly, all thinking is banned – when all else fails, just turn up the hate.  Thirdly, the leaders put themselves and their security before the interests of their people.

You can see references to these elements in people like Napoleon, Stalin and Hitler – although the French never got close to banning thinking – not least because Napoleon came to power after the Terror – during which you could lose your head for doing little more than doing just that.

Before looking at what history may say about current events in the U S, we might reflect on why Trump or his like could not expect to get elected here – or in England, Germany, France – or any other country that is sensibly governed.  Put to one side that trump is a property developer with many enemies and a reputation for dishonesty and untrustworthiness, and a private life as gruesome as any in Hollywood.  He evaded doing military service and paying tax.  No such person could be forward for preselection here.

Nor could such a person seek to hold an office here which the law says can only be held by people of integrity.  It would for example be silly to suggest that Trump could be awarded a licence to sell gaming machines.  He would be disqualified on at least the ground that so many of those people with whom he has associated have been sentenced to jail terms for dishonesty.  For that reason alone, he would never be appointed to the board of a major public company. 

(I have some experience on this point.  About thirty years ago, I had to decide whether an American gaming machine maker should get a licence here.  One objection was that which is stated above.  In the end, we did not have to decide it.  The applicant admitted to lying on one occasion to a U S regulator on an aspect of his business.  That was enough in our view to disqualify him.)

People in France and elsewhere still talk about the ‘Dreyfus affair.’  A Jewish officer in the French army was found guilty of espionage and sentenced to long exile.  There is no doubt that the main evidence was concocted, but the conviction was affirmed and the controversy bitterly divided France for many years.  Those against Dreyfus were led by the army and the Jesuits – two castes given to fighting wars.  People followed their lead by ignoring the evidence or accepting hogwash in response. 

The ailment of the French involved much more than a prejudice against and jealousy of the Jews.  At about the time the Rothschilds were helping Disraeli acquire the Suez Canal for his queen, the French were getting ready to shaft the Jews for their alleged role in a scandal about a botched development of the Panama Canal.

Hannah Arendt looked at this in The Origins of Totalitarianism.  In France there was a clear alliance between the army and the Jesuits.  The common target was the Jewish community.

These parasites upon a corrupt body served to provide a thoroughly decadent society with an exceedingly dangerous alibi.  …  It did not matter to them that the corruption of the body politic had started without the help of Jews; that the policy of businessmen (in a bourgeois society to which Jews had not belonged) and their ideal of unlimited competition had led to the disintegration of the state in party politics; that the ruling classes had proved incapable any longer of protecting their own interests, let alone those of those of the country as w hole.  The antisemites who called themselves patriots introduced that new species of national feeling which consists primarily in a complete whitewash of one’s own people and a sweeping condemnation of all others. (Emphasis added.)

That looks spot on – and its relevance to the U S now is immediately apparent.

The Catholic Church faces big questions about its dealings with Napoleon, Mussolini, Hitler and Franco.  Arendt says that the Jesuits took the lead against the Jews.  Ancient statutes – going back to 1593 – banned all Christians of Jewish descent from the Society.  Later, the novice only had to prove that he had no Jewish blood going back to the fourth generation.

The Jews were OK in France provided that they knew their place.  Then they got uppity.  And in the caste of the army – whose ancestors had fought the fatherland during the revolutionary wars.  As ever, the forces of reaction were gratified by the hierarchy in the Church.  For many, the hierarchic system of the church was the antidote to chaos and anarchy.  And the Church was seeking to recover from the belting it took in the revolution. 

But when the Jews began seeking equality in the army, they came face to face with the determined opposition of the Jesuits who were not prepared to tolerate the existence of officers immune to the influence of the confessional.

Arendt says the Jesuits had the direction of the Church’s international policy.  One devout member proclaimed – ‘By the will of democracy, all Frenchmen are to be soldiers.  By the will of the Church, Catholics only are to hold the chief commands.’

It got so bad that Gentiles refused to act as seconds in duels with Jews.

What, if anything, had the revolution achieved?  What, if anything, had become of the Enlightenment?  Has the world seen a greater affront to liberty, equality, and fraternity?  Or do such grand phrases always portend pure bullshit?

Now, that church is not heavily involved in the US political collapse.  But Protestant Evangelicals are in it up to their necks – and what a sleazy lot they are.  At a time when Australians get new evidence every day of the damage done to our body politic by a Hillsong zealot who truly knew not what he did.

And in the US, the Jews are not the main target.  They are reserved for the refuse at the bottom of the uprising.  For the most part, those who support Trump have missed out, and they want to take it out on others they think they can look down on – people of colour, Latin migrants, people with different sexuality, and those who are just too bloody smart.  And their nightmare is that the blacks and Latinos will have the numbers – and the descendants of the Puritans will have no one to look down on – or look up to.

So, it is time to raise up the mob.

While the people in all great revolutions fight for true representation, the mob will always shout for the ‘strong man’, the ‘great leader’.  For the mob hates society from which it is excluded, as well as Parliament where it is not represented.  …..

There is the MAGA motley in all its miserable fury.  But let us stay with France.

There can be no doubt that in the eyes of the mob, the Jews came to serve as an object lesson for all the things they detested…While it is a mistake to assume that the mob preys only on Jews, the Jews must be accorded first place among its victims…Excluded as it is from society and political representation, the mob turns of necessity to extra parliamentary action.

The violence became so much worse.  There were ‘rival gangs of charlatans squabbling for recognition by the rabble.’  And people who should have known better were manipulating the mob with the zeal of manic puppeteers.

Every stroke of the [pro Dreyfus side] was followed by more or less violent disturbance on the streets.  The organisation of the mob by the General Staff was remarkable.  The trail leads straight from the army to the Libre Parole….and all accounts agree that if Zola, when once charged, had been acquitted, he would never have left the courtroom alive.

For Parole Libre, read Fox News; for Zola, read Mike Pence – with apologies to Zola. 

Someone said it was no longer a ‘question whether Dreyfus is innocent or guilty, but only of who will win, the friends of the army or its foes.’  And remember there was no real issue of fact about the innocence of Dreyfus. 

Just as there is no issue about who won the last presidential election.

In discussing the rise of populist leaders between the two world wars, Arendt described ‘the temporary alliance between the mob and the elite’.  She referred to their ‘failure in professional and social life’ and their ‘perversion and disaster in private life.  That sounds familiar.

The fact that their lives prior to their political careers had been failures, naively held against them by the more respectable leaders of the old parties, was the strongest factor in their mass appeal.

As I follow it, Trump says that he had no tax to pay because of the losses he took in business failures.  He said that was clever.

The temporary alliance between the elite and the mob rested largely on this genuine delight with which the former watched the latter destroy respectability…  The object…was always to reveal official history as a joke, to demonstrate a sphere of secret influences of which the visible, traceable, and known historical reality was only the outward façade erected explicitly to fool the people…the difference between truth and falsehood may cease to be objective and become a mere matter of power and cleverness, of pressure and infinite repetition.

Chapter and verse for Trump.  Then there was the man who said ‘When I hear the word culture, I draw my revolver.’   Arendt finishes this section with a bell-ringer.

Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty.

There you have Betsy DeVos and those other crackpots and lightweights in that preposterous Loony Tune outfit called the Trump Cabinet – whose members prostrated themselves to their leader after the manner of those who do the same for Kim – the serial killer with whom their leader fell in love.

Kafka did miss the best parts. 

In Terror and the Police State, the author says:

In retrospect, it is the intolerance of those at the head of these regimes that might be their dominant common characteristic.  They were zealots, and they were pathfinders, and they knew that they had real enemies, and they were disposed to conjure up many more.  They were, as we have seen, politically inexperienced or immature.  They were cast iron ‘black or white’ people.  They could only deal in absolutes.  They were incapable of anything like what John Keats called ‘negative capability’ – when someone is capable ‘of being in uncertainties, mysteries, doubts, without any irritable reaching after fact and reason.’  You are either for us or against us – but the choice has terminal consequences – if you get it wrong, you are dead. 

The death there is merely political – as Ms Cheney has now discovered. 

But these sorts of divisions have been with us since we got clear of the apes.  Here is one version.

To fit in with the change of events, words, too, had to change their usual meanings.  What used to be described as a thoughtless act of aggression was now regarded as the courage one would expect to find in a party member; to think of the future and wait was merely one way of saying that you were a coward; any idea of moderation was just an attempt to disguise one’s unmanly character; an ability to understand a question from all sides meant that one was totally unfitted for action.  Fanatical enthusiasm was the mark of a real man, and to plot against an enemy behind his back was perfectly legitimate self-defence.  Anyone who held violent opinions could always be trusted, and anyone who objected to them became a suspect.  To plot successfully was a sign of intelligence, but it was still cleverer to see that a plot was hatching.  If one attempted to provide against having to do either, one was disrupting the unity of the party and acting out of the fear of the opposition.  In short, it was equally praiseworthy to get one’s blow in first against someone who was going to do wrong, and to denounce someone who had no intention of doing any wrong at all…

Love of power, operating through greed and personal ambition, was the cause of all these evils.  To this must be added the violent fanaticism which came into play once the struggle had broken out.  Leaders of the parties in the cities had programs which appeared admirable – on the one side, political equality for the masses, on the other the safe and sound government of the aristocracy – but in professing to serve the public interest, they were seeking to win the prizes for themselves.  In their struggles for ascendancy, nothing was barred, and in taking revenge they went further still…

As a result of these revolutions, there was a general deterioration of character throughout the Greek world…Society had become divided into two ideologically hostile camps, and each side viewed the other with suspicion. 

That was written by Thucydides more than two and a half millennia ago. 

If you want a more recent account of how leaders engage with mob, go to Henry VI (Part 2), Julius Caesar, and Coriolanus.  This playwright knew all about the mob and he will take your breath away.  You even get a taste of ‘birtherism’.  With Jack Cade, the claim is up-market rather than down-market – but the fiction is as inane as the tripe that was promoted by Trump.  Perhaps his obsession with ‘witch-hunts’ comes from the fact that he so often acts like a witch.

Politics – US – Trump – the mob – dictatorship.

Passing Bull 326 –History is written by the winners

On the odd times that the Demons won a game, my mate and I would say: ‘Winners are grinners.  The rest make their own arrangements.’ 

There is a related saying.  ‘History is written by the winners.’  If you win, you get the carriage of the story-telling.  In the events leading to the Declaration of Independence, one rebel said: ‘We either stick together, or we hang separately.’  If you lose, you are a dead terrorist; if you win, you are a hero and nation builder.  Like Nelson Mandela.

Chance plays a big part in battles.  Just ask his Grace, the Duke of Wellington.  Waterloo was, he said, a very close-run thing.  It could have gone either way – especially if Blucher had arrived just a bit later.  According to the inscription at the base of the bust on my television cupboard, his Grace said: ‘The business of war, and indeed life, is guessing what is on the other side of the hill.’

Chance of course plays a big part in all games – which were meant to be played for fun.  ‘Where were you standing when the music stopped on the carousel of life?’ 

Any game could go either way at the start – and remain that way right to the end.  Yet, analysts of sporting contests – who for the AFL are about as numerous as the players – say that they can isolate the causes of one side’s triumph.  Even where the margin is one point – or is defined by one second in time.

Unless you live on Mars, you will know that Collingwood beat Carlton by a point – with extreme prejudice to the loser.  And we get exposed to reams of analysis of why Collingwood won.  By a point. 

One explanation is enough.  The losers did not kick straight.  They had four more scoring shots.  That is more than enough to explain a one-point deficit.  Since the game of football is based on your ability to apply your foot to the ball, this failing is fundamental.  It’s like saying I had a good round of golf – it’s just my putting that let me down.  Mate – putting is half the bloody game.

But, no, we have to get graphs, numbers, charts, and replays – to show how the players – yes, players – got to the position they were in when the carousel stopped.  When one of the many missed shots could have produced the opposite result.

And then we get the related fallacy.  The best player award should go to a member of the winning side.  When, five seconds later, it may have been the other side. 

And that is why winners are grinners – and why historians are always on guard against the dangers of the arrogance of hindsight.  The Roman Empire declined and fell.  But it is simply false to say that it had to decline or fall.

Well, we all need to put a meal on the table.  But there is a word for all this causal analysis of games of chance.

Bullshit.

Government

Revelations about the conduct of the Prime Minister and Governor General about Cabinet Ministries naturally prompt discussion about how ‘government’ does or should operate in Australia.

Although the issue is said to be ‘constitutional’, the Commonwealth Constitution has little to say about it.  It says:

The executive power of the Commonwealth is vested in the Queen and is exercisable by the Governor-General as the Queen’s representative, and extends to the execution and maintenance of this Constitution, and of the laws of the Commonwealth. 

The Constitution refers to Ministers of State and a Federal Executive Council.  That body – which the public now knows nothing of – was to take the place of the Privy Council – as it then stood in England.  There is no mention of the two offices we regard as the heart of government – the Prime Minister and Cabinet.

What then was or is the ‘government’?  To answer that, we can go back to lectures delivered by the great legal historian F W Maitland at Cambridge in 1888 and published in 1908.  That may seem silly, but those two dates surrounded the time of the enactment of our constitution, and to answer the question, Maitland went back to the reign of William III. 

The English Constitution was settled by laws passed after the revolution of 1689 – principally the Bill of Rights and the Act of Settlement.  After that came the development of the office of Prime Minister and the role of the Cabinet – and the development through convention of what we know as the Westminster System.

What then is this government?  The answer to this question, if it be true, must be both long and difficult.  The reason is this.  During the last two centuries [after 1689] there has grown up an organisation which is not a legal organisation.  Of course, I do not mean that it is an illegal organisation; rather I should prefer to say that it is an extra-legal organisation; the law does not condemn it, but it does not recognise it – knows nothing about it.  I mean the organisation to which we point when we use such terms as ‘the Cabinet’, ‘the Ministry’, ‘the Government’, ‘the Prime Minister’….

These functions are found in conventions that derive from history.  The ‘cabinet’ and ‘prime minister’ are said to be terms that are not known to the law.  ‘No official document constitutes the cabinet…the legal powers of a cabinet meeting are only the sum of the legal powers of its members.  The cabinet has no corporate powers.’

When speaking of the ‘executive’ we – and the Constitution – are talking of the powers of the Queen.  Except that later, Maitland goes on to say, with expressed diffidence, ‘that we can no longer say that the executive power is vested in the king: the king has powers, this minister has powers, and that minister has powers.  The requisite harmony is secured by the extra-legal organisation of cabinet and ministry.’

Those propositions may bear some analysis when looking at a case where it is said that one minister had the same powers as another minister.  What happens if one purports to override another- as the press says happened here on a contentious mining issue?

Australians who were about in 1975 will not be surprised that Maitland said that ‘there is often great uncertainty as to the exact limits of the royal prerogative.’  The very question can send shivers up the spine – just as it led to the beheading of Charles I.

Elsewhere I sought to explain the Westminster System.

Government is seen to come in three parts.  The Parliament makes the laws.  The executive branch carries them into effect.  And the judges rule on any disputes about the working of the laws. 

The Queen is in theory the head of the executive, but there are four parts of the Westminster System dealing with the working of the executive that are fundamental to our notion of ‘responsible government’.

First, the Queen only acts on the advice of her Ministers.

Secondly, those Ministers – some of whom comprise the Cabinet – must have the confidence of the Parliament – and they must resign if they do not.

Thirdly, there is a permanent non-political civil service chosen and trained to give effect to the wishes of government, the members of which are under the supervision of a Minister – the Ministers of course being the members of parliament and who have the confidence of parliament.

Fourthly, the Ministers are responsible to the Parliament for the working of the civil service under them.  If the civil service makes a mistake that cannot be dismissed as trifling, the Minister must account to Parliament for the error – and depending on its gravity either apologise or resign.

We need not be surprised that so much turns on ‘convention’.  Ultimately, the English constitution, and therefore ours, rests on the common law – which derives from custom and precedent – and the distinction between those two and ‘convention’ is a point we can reserve for the medieval Schoolmen – who asked how many angels dance on the point of a needle.

Finally, if as Maitland says, the relevant offices are not known to the law, how does a court of law get to rule on them?  We may be about to find out if a mining licence was given by one minister contrary to the view of the minister primarily appointed to that office, and the disappointed party goes to court.

Constitution – Cabinet, Ministers, and Prime Minister – justiciable issues – dual appointments to ministries.

Passing Bull 325 – Unprecedented

The decline and fall of the Republicans brought on by Donald Trump is nowhere sadder and more unsettling than in their reaction to the FBI search and the warrant that authorised it.

Even the ultimate lapdog, Mike Pence, thinks some may have gone too far.  Perhaps his mind has been concentrated by the attempt to lynch him.

“The Republican party is the party of law and order. Our party stands with the men and women who serve on the thin blue line at the federal, state and local level. And these attacks on the FBI must stop,” he said.

“Calls to defund the FBI are just as wrong as calls to defund the police. And the truth of the matter is, we need to get to the bottom of what happened. We need to let the facts play out,” said Pence, who alongside Trump, is considering a 2024 presidential campaign.

“This unprecedented action does demand unprecedented transparency,” he added, saying that he would call on Attorney General Merrick Garland to fully disclose the reasons behind the recent search.

First, the party of law and order is the main party defending the right to bear arms which makes it impossible for government to maintain law and order.  They say that the constitutional right, which makes it impossible for government to do its constitutional duty, was meant to allow people to bear arms against a government doing them wrong.  As did the people who raided the Capitol.

Secondly, everyone uses the terms ‘unprecedented’ in this context.  So was the Declaration of Independence.  So is Donald Trump.

Thirdly, when the Republicans apply ‘unprecedented transparency’, whatever that is, to Merrick Garland, and the judge who authorised the warrant, they might recall that the only reason that Garland is not on the Supreme Court is their unprecedented step in blocking his appointment.

Finally, on reflection, the Declaration did have a precedent – the English Bill of Rights – including the right to bear arms = which the English have never been stupid enough to abuse in the American way.

U S – Trump – FBI – Bill of Rights – the right to bear arms.

The dispensing power of Donald Trump

Dear Editor (NYT),

You report the claim for Donald Trump that documents taken out of the Oval Office “were deemed to be declassified the moment he removed them.”  This is the largest claim to a dispensing power made by a head of state since the Stuarts.  You will recall that King James II asserted that his royal prerogative enabled him to dispense with statutes he did not like.  That did not go down too well, and there was a revolution – and the Bill of Rights.

That law has never troubled the English, but your Supreme Court has applied it to give rights to carry weapons that horrify the rest of the West.  It is just a matter of time until someone – possibly on the Supreme Court – alleges that the misgovernment alleged against the DOJ and FBI show why citizens should have the right to bear arms – against misgovernment.

The irony is that Merrick Garland should be on the Supreme Court – for its considerable betterment.

Yours truly

The person responsible for this stunt may not be aware of the shades of meaning of ‘deem’. But English was never good for Trump. Which is one reason he marries women whose English is worse than his.

Trump – dispensing with the Espionage Act – bullshit.

Idolizing the people

Most peoples romance about their past.  The French have made an art form of it.  Their first historian of the revolution, Michelet, idolised le peuple.  Pieter Geyl is as insightful a historian as I have known.  He wrote a paper about Michelet which you can get in his magisterial Debates with Historians.  The people were implicated in the Terror and other atrocities.  In his account, Hippolyte Taine lacerated the mob.  Michelet let them off.  The gruesome September Massacres – when victims were cast out of jails to be slaughtered by the mob – a broiling lynch mob – were not the fault of le peuple but ‘three of four hundred drunks’.

As the French descended into anarchy and a form of dictatorship, the sedate bourgeoisie of law-makers in the Convention surrendered power de facto to the Paris commune – a word fated in the history of Europe and which would recur fatefully about once a generation or so in France up to and including the yellow vests a year or two ago.  The triumph of the commune was, if you like a revolution within a revolution.  Danton had to live with imputations about his inaction during the massacres.  The Convention had to live with imputations about their failure to rein in the Commune.

Geyl made observations in 1954 that bear directly on the appalling failings of the United States taking place before our eyes.

The worst, however, was that the event [the September Massacres] demonstrated the impotence of the Convention.  To me the way in which that Assembly allowed itself to be tyrannised over by the Paris Commune (in which the lowest elements had the upper hand, as Michelet admits) seems an undeniable proof of moral cowardice, dishonouring the Revolution.

That is a precise picture of Republican elders in the United States showing moral cowardice in giving way to the mob – ‘in which the lowest elements have the upper hand.’.  And they are doing just that in light of the evidence coming out every day that the mob will in truth be a lynch mob even without that encouragement.

When Michelet gets fuzzy about the ups and downs of the ensainted people, Geyl says this.

There is in that sentimentality about the bloody maniacs of 1793/4, moved by the new revelation of eternal truths, but also by hatred and fear, something positively repulsive.  But they were all patriots, they were all faithful servants…

Exactly.

And no decent country in the western world would have suffered the election of a draft dodger and tax evader who was a lying fraudster and whose inability to recognise the world as it is or to accept its rules were bound to lead to chaos and strife – to an extent that now threatens the rule of law, if not the Union itself.

And then compare the way in which the Tory elders of England put down their serial pest.  It wasn’t pretty, but it did have the benefit of a start of one millennium or so.

PS The note on Pieter Geyl below comes from Listening to Historians.  He is one of those people – I know far too many – who make you wonder what you have done with your life.

Geyl

Holland had, and still has, a reputation for tolerance and enlightenment.  In the 17th century, it offered sanctuary to great European thinkers like Spinoza and Locke – Spinoza died there; Descartes also sought protection there.  Holland has also produced great historians.  One of them was the late Pieter Geyl (1887-1966).  Don’t just take my word for it.  A J P Taylor said: ‘If I were asked to name the historian whom I have most venerated in my lifetime, I should not hesitate for an answer.  I should name Pieter Geyl.’

Every now and then – it is not very often – you come across a writer who soon puts you at your ease.  There is a breadth and depth of learning; there is an absence of arrogance or waspishness; and there is some compassion, some generosity of spirit, too.  I do not think that we can call someone ‘wise’ unless we can see something on top of a very fine mind – something like humanity, for the want of a better word. 

The late Professor Geyl qualifies on all counts, in spades.  Geyl was trained in Holland but spent a lot of time teaching and writing in England and in the States; he also spent some time in Germany, something that I will come back to.  His 1955 book Debates with Historians is ideal for our purposes as it looks at four of the historians that we have.  (A substantial part of the book consists of a polite demolition job on Arnold Toynbee.)

The first essay from about 1952 is called ‘Ranke in the Light of the Catastrophe.’  A Times Literary Supplement piece had in the eye of Geyl suggested that Ranke by his ‘political quietism’ been a pioneer of National Socialism – the ‘Catastrophe’ of the title.  (In the fashion of the time, the article was unsigned.  Geyl referred to its ‘vehement one-sidedness’ and had said that in ‘this case it is not difficult to guess who is the writer’ – A J P Taylor?  Trevor-Roper?)  Geyl was intent on defending the German historian against this charge, a very decent undertaking for a Dutchman so soon after that war, you might think. 

There are two things.  One is the great insight of Ranke, that we have seen, that ‘Every period is immediate to God, and its value does not in the least consist in what springs from it, but in its own existence, in its own self.’  This to me sounds like Bonhoeffer.  It is to preach humility to historians – and some of them could do with the sermon. 

Then there is the magisterial closure to the refutation of the charge that Ranke had prefigured National Socialism.  It contains the following.

If we are tempted by our horror at the culmination of evil that we have just experienced or witnessed to pick out in the past of Germany all the evil potentialities, we may construct an impressively cogent concatenation of causes and effects leading straight up to that crisis.  But the impressiveness and straightness will be of our own constructing.  What we are really doing is to interpret the past in the terms of our own fleeting moment.  We can learn a truer wisdom from Ranke’s phrase that it should be viewed ‘immediate to God’, and he himself, too, has a right to be so considered…..Comprehension, a disinterested understanding of what is alien to you – this is not the function of the mind which will supply the most trenchant weapons for the political rough-and-tumble….To understand is a function of the mind which not only enriches the life of the individual; it is the very breath of the civilization which we are called to defend.

God send us more people who can think and write with that largeness of spirit – and consign our mediocrities to the dustbin that they deserve.

The second essay is about Macaulay.  He is the complete opposite of the ideal of Ranke.  He refuses to ‘look at the past from within…to think in the terms of the earlier generations’.  Macaulay looked on the past as the culmination of his view of Progress, of those ‘on the right side’ no less.  Geyl finds that ‘this mental attitude toward the past is in the deepest sense unhistoric.’  Elsewhere he uses the more homely term ‘cocksure.’ 

All this may be accepted, but with two exceptions, has anyone written history in a more entertaining fashion?  Has anyone ever got even close to Macaulay’s description of the trial of the seven bishops or of the massacre at Glencoe?  Some years ago, I was reading the History of Macaulay for the third time.  I was reading about the trial as I walked to chambers with the book in front of my face.  I was nearly killed by an irate tooting driver because I found that I was walking against a red light.  The dry-as-dust crowd are not likely to lead me unto temptation or unto damnation.  And let us not forget that in writing the Whig view of the Glorious Revolution, Macaulay had a lot to be cocky and sure about.  His team had won – hands down.  And as they say at the footy – winners are grinners; the rest make their own arrangements.

The next essay is about Carlyle and ‘the spirit of the Old Testament that seems to be present, coupling anathematization with adoration.’  It is about Carlyle’s ‘impatience with baseness and cowardice, his feeling of being out of place in a world of superficial sentiment and mediocre living……the babbling of lifeless religiosity or the sham assurance of modern idealism.  Instinct, intuition, the myth, these were his challenge to the rationalists and glorifiers of science who (unappeasable grievance) had made the Christian certitude of his childhood untenable for him’.  Carlyle was impatient with those in thrall to logic.  ‘Yea friends, not our Logical, Commensurative faculty, but our Imagination is King over us.’  That is not the least of Carlyle’s appeal.

Geyl, as it seems to me, gets the sadness in Carlyle exactly right: ‘the sentimental tie to a spiritual heritage which his intellect rejected, the painful reaction against the false teachers who gave him nothing in exchange for what they had robbed him of.’  That condition is very common now – it may define our time, as the time of the claimed death of God, but the author concludes on Carlyle: ‘and the perception of that tragic quality makes it possible to accept gratefully that which is vivifying in his work and serenely to enjoy its beauties.’  Would that other professional historians might be so generous with this poetic and prophetic lightning-conductor from the north.

Then follows an essay on Michelet, the first great historian of the French Revolution.  I have read Michelet, mostly in translation, the better to understand the loathing of the French for the church and, for many of them at one time or another, the English.  His father was an unsuccessful printer – as Professor Burrow reminds us, ‘exactly from the stratum from which the revolutionary crowds were chiefly recruited.’  But, Professor Geyl instructs us, business was bad under Napoleon, and ‘the memory of the Revolution was thus, in that poverty-stricken family, allied to detestation of the Corsican despot.’  It helps to have the inside running on the local knowledge of some historians. 

You will understand the deeply emotional and personal approach of Michelet if you recall that his initial work was on medieval France and that he thought that the English in destroying Joan of Arc – whom he saw as incarnating ‘the self-consciousness of France’ – ‘thought they were deflowering France’!  (God help him if he ever got to see what Shakespeare put in the mouths of her English tormentors.) 

Michelet has the exclamatory style of Carlyle, and a Romantic mind-set, but, as we saw, their differences come in two words.  Michelet talks of the ‘people’ – le bon peuple – while Carlyle speaks of the ‘mob’.  Or, rather, as Geyl tells us, it is the people when it is good – the storming of the bastille; but when they are bad – massacring the inmates of prisons until the streets ran with blood – it is not ‘the people’ but ‘three or four hundred drunks.’  If the awful Terror was an awful weapon, it only had to be employed because of the evil English without, and the traitors within – ‘the people’ and France were guiltless.  (Do you recall Francois Mitterrand saying of Vichy France that ‘The French nation was not involved in that; nor was the Republic’?  Did they all come from Mars?  Have you heard a Russian say that it was not Russia that invaded Afghanistan – it was the Soviet Union.) 

On the one hand, Michelet dislikes Robespierre for the lack of that ‘kindness which befits heroes’; on the other hand, the moderates, who literally lost their heads, lacked ‘that relentless severity which it seemed that the hour required.’  Only seemed, Professor?  When people walk on egg-shells like that, they are protecting someone. 

And the treacly chauvinism – no, imperialism – defies the patience of the Dutchman.

France the country of action.  Love of conquest?  No, proselytism.  What France wants above all is to impose her personality upon the vanquished, not because it is hers, but because she holds the naïve conviction [yes, naïve conviction] that it represents the type of the good and the beautiful.  She believes that she can render to the world no greater benefit than by presenting it with her ideas, her manners, and her fashions.

It is like a wearied but proud parent answering for the forward behaviour of a preppy, spoiled child.  Here presumably is the rationale of Michelet for Napoleon’s invasion of Russia.  Hitler did not bother to try to dress up his invasion of Russia.  Was there any difference between the two for the millions of Russians who were doomed to die because of each invasion?  If you are facing rape or a bayonet, does it matter who sent them?

And what about Belgium, the presently disintegrating heart of Europe?  Well, they were not ‘true Belgians’ – they were within the ‘true boundaries’ of France.  What about the French robbery and rapine in Belgium?

Was it not for Belgium and for the world that France undertook the war, which between 1792 and 1815 cost her ten millions of her children?  In view of that frightful quantity of French blood, it does not begrudge the Belgians very well to grudge us a little money.

It takes your breath away.  What about the ten millions of the children of those nations who were not minded to accept liberation from Napoleon?  And what had Europe to show for her five million dead?

Did he [Robespierre] not understand that to try to dam in such a Revolution was impossible, ridiculous, and unfair?  Unfair, for we owed it to the world.

Again, it defies belief – until, that is, we recall the banality of the evil of the dictators of the next century.  Michelet thought that France was ‘stained’ by 1815.  (Some are still unhappy about Waterloo Station.)  Geyl observes that ‘his vehemence sometimes gives the impression of being an attempt to shut down his inner uncertainty’.  The same may be said for Robespierre, but we see this all the time now in the wind-bags posing as politicians. 

We have been speaking of the need for historians to look at the world as it was seen by people at the time – Maitland was very strong on this – but are we not compelled to dream of meeting the shades of Professor Michelet over the ruins of Dresden or Hiroshima and asking him if he might care to revise his view of the wisdom of allowing nations with tickets on themselves to walk all over other nations just to present them with ‘her ideas, her manners, her fashions.’

Professor Geyl feared that the cult of the Revolutionary tradition may even now be a danger in the hands of propagandists of absolutist politics.  ‘It began with the detestable league against Justice entered into by army and church in the Dreyfus affair.’  I agree, and very many otherwise decent French people then averted their gaze to save the honour of France, but then I look down at the footnote.  ‘I must apologise for speaking the language of the supporters of Dreyfus, in which the personifying metaphors undeniably have the usual effect of effacing transitionary shadings or exceptions.’  It is very, very rare, is it not, to find a professional man apologising for dropping his professional guard?

There are four papers on Arnold Toynbee.  He had discovered ‘laws’ of the rise and fall of civilizations that he unfolded in massive length and detail and with prodigious learning over 2500 closely printed pages.  It was all moonshine.  He said that on his predictors, things were not looking up, but that if we went back to God, we could be saved: ‘Be converted, or perish.’  It was therefore a smash hit in the United States.  It has now sunk almost without trace.  Its tone can be assessed from the work of a fellow-traveller at Harvard who published four massive volumes full of tables and graphs called Social and Cultural Dynamics.  Scores – no, as we would now say, teams – of scholars compared any number of books and paintings to grade the extent to which they might be characterized as ‘sensate’ or ‘ideational’.  What got into one of the most respected and wealthy universities on earth to back a project that was on a par with reading tea leaves or Tarot cards? 

I will mention four things about Professors Geyl and Toynbee.

The first is that Geyl is completely courteous and fair.  He may for all I know have learned from reading Darwin that if you want to do a demolition job on someone, the best thing to do is to set out the object of attack fairly, accurately, dispassionately, and courteously.  This advice is allied to the opinion of good advocates – that their most potent weapon is candour.  One advantage of setting out the other position in detail is that you can point to the spot where it fails.  You can claim the logical high ground.  You are not just being disarming – your position is carried with conviction.  One reason for this is that you are being honest – intellectually.  People should read The Origin of Species and Debates with Historians on this ground alone.  Would that those posing as professional sportsmen could absorb this lesson.  Each is a triumph of fairness and courtesy.

Secondly, the short answer to those who claim to have the answer to history is the remark that someone made to the effect that the tragedy of the social sciences is that of a syllogism broken by a fact.  We are not God.  Our understanding is too frail to support over-arching cathedrals.  We must make do under humbler shelters.  Geyl refers, more than once, to the wise advice of the great Dutch historian Johan Huizinga to the effect that the height of a civilization cannot be measured.  ‘To judge a civilization, or one particular stage of a civilization, steadily, and to judge it whole, is a task which I think will always be beyond the powers of the human intellect.’  We should leave the blind arrogance of those who adhere to the alternative view to those who prop up the corner of a bar arguing about whether Muhammad Ali was as good a sportsman as Babe Ruth. 

On a related issue, Geyl quotes a cracker of a line from an English historian called Mr E M Young.  Mr Young warned about trying to get some absolute ‘canon of valuation’ and went on:

If we trespass across this boundary, we may find ourselves insensibly succumbing to one of the most insidious vices of the human mind; what the Germans in their terse and sparkling way call: ‘the hypostatization of methodological categories’, or: the habit of treating a mental convenience as if it were an objective thing.

(In fairness to Mr Young, it may be said that the relevant ‘terse and sparkling’ phrase does look threateningly like as if it may have fallen from the great Prussian, Immanuel Kant.  God only knows what it sounded like in German.) 

It is spellbindingly obvious that it is only people who do the things that make up our history; or, as Carlyle said, history consists of innumerable biographies.  There was no such thing as the French Revolution.  Some people in France – some we can identify; most we cannot – performed actions that came to constitute events that over a period of time – the boundaries of which are negotiable – historians and others have labelled as the French Revolution.  But there was no such thing.  The convenience of a label, and sloppiness of thought, give no warrant for treating all these infinite human actions as ‘an objective thing.’ 

On 14 July 1789, the Parisian bourgeoisie – however you define that weasel term – did nothing.  Rather, some men and women – some of whom we know; most of whom we do not know – took by force a government post, and then mayhem and all hell were let loose (as I think Milton said).  The taking of that fortress came to stand for the subsequent collapse of royalty and most of the last vestiges of the feudal system, but only God knows what may have happened to the white hats if a detachment of troops in black hats in charge of heavy fire-power had not changed sides at what we now would call the tipping point on that day. 

Not one of the things that any person did that collectively now fall under the label of the ‘French Revolution’ could have been predicted in advance – not one.  Nothing was preordained.  For just one example, Louis Capet could have kept his head, as could Charles Stuart, if he had been ready, willing and able to negotiate.  And while on 14 July, many historians forget that the nastiness and violence and killing started then.  Paris did not have to wait for the Terror to see blood on the streets or heads taken off shoulders – they had it from Day One.  If we are speaking of a revolution, we are speaking of violent force.  Depending on your outlook, you might think that the mob got the taste of blood very early.

Thirdly, and very much relatedly, one essay is dedicated to exploding the idea that Toynbee was being empirical – just proceeding as a matter of fact on the evidence – as opposed to people like the German Spengler (The Decline of the West) who were theoretical or philosophical.  It is a fair inference that Toynbee followed the bad example of mediocre judges – too many of them – by reaching a conclusion and then setting out to justify it.  But Professor Geyl states the objection more dispassionately.

I must confess that the historian who presents me with large generalizations and in the same breath tells me that he has been proceeding empirically will always arouse my distrust.  Nothing is more likely to be misleading than the comparison of the historian’s method with that of the scientist.  When the scientist conducts an experiment intended to show that a certain reaction is brought about by one particular element, or combination of elements, rather than another, he will take care above all to isolate that factor beyond the possibility of mistake.  It will always be hard indeed for the historian to do likewise.

It is the same for lawyers; we are fond of saying that experience trumps logic; we and historians are looking at men and women through a glass darkly, not measuring quantities of matter into a test tube.  That is why some of us are more enlightened about the past by the art of Gibbon, Carlyle, and Macaulay than a shotgun splatter of graphs, tables, citations, and footnotes; it is also why it does not look too good for the professional historians to be snooty about or envious of those writers who can reach us where we live.  We may be reminded of the observation – of R D Laing? – that more light may enter a mind that is cracked than one that is whole.

Geyl concludes against Toynbee that ‘the whole imposing work is a travesty of the scientific method.’  The final paper winds up that ‘this prophet usurps the name of historian….I regard his prophecy as a blasphemy against Western Civilization.’  The steps leading to that conclusion have been laid with great care, and the skeleton of the reasoning has been frankly exposed.

Finally, we have an indication of the way that the breeze has changed about religion.  The invitation ‘Convert or perish’ would ensure that this monument of Toynbee hit the dustbin a lot faster now, but Professor Geyl refers to a Dutch professor ‘who is a faithful Catholic and stimulating religious thinker, [who] begins by observing that many of his co-religionists will not admit any criticism of Toynbee, because they are so profoundly impressed with his message, his message of salvation through Christ.’  Toynbee had somehow constructed a system intended ‘to support divine truth.’ 

It is like the opponents of Galileo who quoted the Bible to over-rule the science of astronomy.  It is no business of mine to give advice to those of faith, but may I say that it makes as much sense to me for people of the cloth to pick fights with professional historians, philosophers, or doctors, as it would do for the Marylebone Cricket Club to challenge the New York Yankees to a World Series baseball play-off on a resurfaced Lords?

I shall try to deal briefly with three other essays.

Talleyrand, a randy, deformed bishop with a brilliant mind, was the foreign minister of Napoleon.  They clashed over policy.  Talleyrand undoubtedly went against his boss at times.  In one essay, Geyl asks why French historians, even those who are against the little Corsican, do not notice this.  ‘Are the French more inclined to detest inconsistency of action and deceitfulness?  Have they less patience with the witty and charming intriguer, the shifting evasive, character?’  There were some acting against the Emperor when he ‘was paving the way for the catastrophe’ (there is that word ‘catastrophe’ again), but Geyl concludes that the French took the view that their ‘loyalty was to the government actually in power, irrespective of one’s feelings as to its desirability’.  A footnote says that the Dutch version of the paper ‘was written under the German occupation in 1944’. 

When Churchill’s memoirs came out, Geyl was ‘thrilled’ to read that Churchill had the same view.  Churchill had had to tell a secret session of the Commons why Eisenhower had chosen to deal with Admiral Darlan who had been sent by Petain ‘and to whom there still clung the somewhat unpleasant odours of Vichy’ (and you will have noted the tolerance that is there extended to the fallen).  Churchill, no enemy of France, said that there was a principle of the droit administratif, ‘a highly legalistic state of mind’ arising from a sub-conscious sense of national self-preservation.  The Allies believed that because the French state had been subjected to so many convulsions, many French would regard de Gaulle as a man who had rebelled against the authority of the French State.  Therefore the Allies thought that they had better deal with the officials nominally empowered, even if they were on the nose.  (And perhaps here is a clue to the enduring antipathy of de Gaulle to England: these papers were written before that antipathy was fully realized).

You will see immediately the relevance to the attitude of French historians to Talleyrand and Napoleon.  In 1952, there was another name to reflect on.  ‘The German parallel does not of course imply that I am overlooking the enormous difference between Napoleon and Hitler…But they were both dictators and adventurers.’  This very wise historian had previously prepared us for this discussion:

One certainly does not need to be a Frenchman to understand that attitude.  [To betray Napoleon was to betray France.]  Everybody will find it easier to recommend to the citizens of another country resistance to a dictator as their true national duty than to put that doctrine into practice when the case presents itself at home.

How very, very true.  How many of us have within ourselves the courage of a man like Dietrich Bonhoeffer?  Not me, Mate.  There was a man of God who was imbued with the Sermon on the Mount and who felt that it was his duty not just to disobey but to kill Hitler.  Bonhoeffer had after all accepted the truth of the remark with which Professor Geyl closes this essay:

as regards Talleyrand, the German parallel will remind us – if we need that reminder: the present generations are becoming ever more familiar with the idea – that under the regime of a dictator-adventurer the social order is partially dissolved and the resistance cannot be judged by the rules of normal times.

Is this just not downright marvellous?  How often is history so enlightening?

There is a paper on the U S civil war.  You will not be surprised that Professor Geyl is against the view that the war and its outcome were pre-ordained.  He argues that the essential premise of the contrary argument is just ‘one more proof of the general truth that the course of history is not governed by the conscious will of the majority.’  Did a majority of English people want to kill Charles Stuart?  Did a majority of French people want to kill Louis Capet?  Anybody familiar with the politics of a student body, a trade union, a parish church, or a professional partnership will wonder how often a majority view prevails.  (Do most people in Europe want to support the Euro on the terms on offer?  Do the centralists in Brussels have anything in common with those whom they claim to represent?)

In the course of the discussion, Geyl shows that he understands the greatest of all our men, Abraham Lincoln – ‘that rare combination of courage to stand alone with moderation; of detestation of the evil with understanding of the difficulties of the human agent or of the society in which the evil flourishes.’  He looks at the naked majesty of the Second Inaugural and goes on:

….the leading idea expressed in religious terms, is that events had taken their course independently of human control.  To me this humility in the face of the mighty happenings seems to be a truer proof of wisdom than Randall’s rationalism [the contrary view].  The conception in which it is founded may have its tragic implications; it has not, to anyone who accepts life in its entirety, anything depressing.  What seems depressing is rather that attempt to show, over and over again, that those people could have been spared all their misfortunes if only they had been sensible.  For do we not know at long last that man is not a sensible being?

Have you as yet got to expect the richness and ripeness of this kind of response from this writer?

From a short note on ‘Latter-day Napoleon Worship’, here is the former Emperor at St Helena on his first wife:

The real reason why I married her was because she had got me to believe that she had a large fortune….I found out the truth about her finances before I married her, and in any case the marriage with a woman of a good old French family was an excellent thing for me.  I was a Corsican after all.

Geyl comments on the ‘downrightness, and also a psychological truth, which are positively staggering.’  Could a man who was so cool about dropping a wife also be cool about dropping an army?  He did it twice.  Once in the sands of Sinai and once in the snows of Russia.  When the going got tough, Boney buggered off – twice.  (Well, he was a Corsican, after all.)  If you put to one side the millions who died so that the little Emperor of the French could play Europe and Egypt like a chessboard, there are things to be said for an against Buonaparte – and there is a book by Geyl on that subject – but on one issue there can be no argument – his troops could not trust this leader to stick by them when things went bad.  Is a there a worse charge left to be levelled against a soldier?

As ever, Geyl can allow for the poignancy of the manner of Napoleon’s dying – ‘for he could be truly and charmingly kind.’  And Napoleon certainly was unrepentant as he left us: ‘I am glad I have no religious faith.  It is a great comfort now.  I have no chimerical fears, I am not afraid of the future.’  I understand that feeling – what it might do for his victims is a matter for God.  Geyl leaves the subject ‘almost ready’ to accept the verdict of Thomas Hardy:

Such men as thou, who wade across the world

To make an epoch, bless, confuse, appal,

Are in the elemental ages’ chart

Like meanest insects on obscurest leaves –

But incidents and grooves of earth’s unfolding;

Or as the brazen rod that stirs the fire

Because it must.

If you read a lot, you may sometimes feel like a lone digger traipsing over an old gold field, and you just plough on in the wistful hope that one day your luck may turn and you may just come across some real gold.  Well, we got one here!  We have here a breadth and depth of learning, simple courtesy and fairness, and above all, compassion for the human condition.  In the end, Professor Geyl only fires point blank at Toynbee because he sees Toynbee as having impeached his faith, a faith that was I expect entirely secular, but no less real or precious for that; I suspect also that he had tired of Toynbee’s dogged unrepentance, and the wilful blindness of his deluded followers.

Professor Geyl represents something very, very fine about the European tradition.  He came from a nation that holds some of the title deeds of western civilization, to adopt a phrase of Churchill’s, a nation renowned for its tolerance.  His was a Europe that had just been convulsed in an appalling war, for the second time in a little more than a generation, but this historian is able to analyse its history in a way that does great honour to his calling.  In those essays, he had defended one German historian of a charge of being a step-ladder for the Nazis, and he had sought to understand what he saw as the ‘catastrophes’ that had befallen both France and Germany in different centuries and with different dictators.

I mentioned that Geyl had spent some time in Germany and that he wrote the Dutch version of the Talleyrand essay during the German occupation of Holland.  For thirteen months, Pieter Geyl, even then a most distinguished Dutch historian, had been kept at a place that Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Barack Obama visited a couple of years ago.  Its emblem was Jedem das Seine, ‘To Each his Own’.  We know it under a name of unspeakable horror – Buchenwald. 

On his release from Buchenwald, Geyl was kept in a Dutch prison by the Germans until the end of the war.  And, yet, in the period following that war, he was able to write about Europe, and the world at large, in the terms that I have indicated.  This, surely, was a colossal achievement, and one that humbles us.  Professor Geyl has produced work that helps us come to terms with our humanity, and that is I think the proper purpose of the world of learning, or, as I would prefer to say, men and women of letters.  Or as A J P Taylor is quoted as saying in the blurb on this book, ‘Geyl is one of the few living men whose writings make us feel that Western civilisation still exists.’

What’s Wrong? Extracts

This book is now on sale. Below is an extract on doubtful terms.

A

a priori, absolutely (this is the default BBC answer for ‘yes’), accountable, acid test, action (verb), activist (what’s wrong with having a cause?), adamant (for a lawyer, a dodgy proposition that the lawyer cannot dissuade the client from persisting in), add value, address issues, agenda, agitator (a Mixmaster ?), and/or (deadly before a fussy literate person or in a literate context: what does it mean?), and then some, antithesis, apples with apples, arguably, argy bargy, as to whether, at the end of the day, attendee (looks passive, but should be active, and is pretentious), austerity (living within your means) Aussie (Aussie Aussie Aussie is more than three times as bad – see cringe making below), awesome

B

back to the future, backflip (vulgar abuse in politics), bad apples, ballpark, bandy about, beloved (maudlin), beltway, best practice, birth (as verb – ‘she birthed well’), bottom line, boot camp, boutique, brand (noun), break even, breaking point, breakthrough, broad church (euphemism for factional corrosion in a political party), burning issue

C

cack handed, canny (Scot or investor), cancel culture, catalyst, charisma, cherry pick, closure, coalface, comfort zone, comfortable (be comfortable or uncomfortable with – except in negotiating), competitive evaluation process, conceptualise, conflate, connote (unless you know the difference from denote), conservative (utterly abused or debauched: as we speak, either suicidally recidivist reactionary or one claiming the privilege of the harlot through the ages) core (values, principles, or promises), cost benefit, cost effective, crisis (typical political or economic hyperbole), cringe making, critique (verb), crushing, cut through, cut-through (noun), cut to the chase, cutting edge

D

damage control (what politicians do when they get caught), deal breaker, deconstruct, deep pockets, delighted (‘I or we would be’ is generally a bad lie; see passionate), devil in the detail, dialogue, dichotomy (the last two are so pretentious), dilemma (unless it is a real one and not just where you have to make a choice), discriminate (extreme care required – we discriminate against murderers), downsize, doyen, Draconian (unforgivable), draw a line in the sand, driver (management bullshit as in ‘core driver’)

E

elite, end of the day, envision, epicentre (when you just mean centre) even playing field, eventuate, execute (that shot was poorly executed = bad shot), existential (threat or anything else), extrapolate, eye watering

F

faceted (multi ), famously (as in ‘as X famously said’), feedback, feel good, fire up, flag (verb), flip flop (verb), floodgates, frame of reference, freedom (from what or to do what), free-standing, front and centre (adverb), full credit, functionality

G

gaffe (an error by a politician you want to put down), game changer, game plan, gear up, geared to, generation X, get-go, go figure, going forward, go to man, good luck with that, governance, grow (transitive verb – ‘she grew her business’), gut feeling, gutted (the opposite of stoked)

H

having regard to, head space, heavy lifting, hearts and minds, heralds (verb), herein or hereon, hereinafter or hereinbefore, high end, high handed, highly geared, hindsight, holed up, holistic (an almost certain guarantee of pure bullshit), hollow out, hopefully, hot button, hunkered down

I

icon, iconic (as remarked above, this has been belted senseless), identity politics, impact (verb), impact on, impactful, in a nutshell, in regards to, in terms of (the adult version of the teenage comfy rug ‘like’), in terrorem, input, interface, issue (address the), iteration

J

jackboot, journey (mine with you)

K

keep me (you) awake at night, key, key performance indicators, king hit, knife edge (election, frustrating a caller)

L

landmark, lean in, legacy (in second term of US President), Left (as a political term), leverage, leverage off, libertarian (a status not claimed by those with a modicum of sense or a sense of modesty; pompous code for something far worse), line in the sand, line of sight, little Aussie battler, low hanging fruit

M

macro , make a nonsense of, maintenance (high or low), mandate (crass as a verb and abused as a noun), marginalise, matrix, maximise, meaningful, micro , mindset, minuet (unless it is warranted), mis speak (in truth, it was a lie), modality, mojo, monetise, morph, move the dial, moving forward, multi skilled, multi tasked, my (our) ask of you

N

neo conservative, neoliberal, network (verb – except for travelling Russian furriers), no brainer, – not (in brackets after a list of attributes), not have a problem with, nuanced

O

obligate, one size fits all, ongoing, opine, optics, optimal, optimise, options, orient, orientated, outcome, outgoing, out group, outlier, output, outsource, overall

P

parameters, parent (verb), parenting, passionate (about things you show no passion about), pear-shaped, per, perfect storm, political correctness, political football, politically motivated, poor decision, prioritise, proactive, problem (not have a problem with), progressive (political), push back

Q

quick fix

R

radar (off or under the), ramp up, reach out, reality check, red flag, red line, reform (in politics, it suggests that the change is for the better, which will generally be controversial), repurpose, reputational damage, reset, resonating, rethink, Right (political) (see above, Left – what does either mean here and now?), roll out

S

said (adjective), scenario, scope (verb – clear symptom of predatory and expensive bullshit), scoping, segue, seize on (what a politician does with the mistake of another), share with you, showcase, sic, side of the angels, sidewalk (only US), skill set, societal, sovereign or sovereignty, start over, state of the art, stitch up, strategy, stoked (see gutted), street smart, sub set, substantive, symbiotic, syndrome, synergy, synthesis

T

tactical, tad (a) (I930s twee), tank (intransitive verb), that said, think (as in think money), think outside the box, thoughts and prayers (perfunctory and insincere), tick all boxes, tipping point, tolerably clear, top down, top line, transformative agenda, transparent (of language), transparency, traumatic, twenty four seven

U

unaccountable, unparalleled, unpack (figurative – seriously pretentious), unstructured, utilise

V

value add, vaunted, veritable, viable, vow (verb)

W

wake up call, wannabes, wash its face, watershed, weaponise, weaponising, wherein, win win, window of opportunity, woke, work in progress

Z

zero sum game, zero tolerance

Logic – buzz words – cliches – political swipes.

Parties and opposition

(Extracts from book in preparation about failures in government and business provisionally called What’s Missing?)

The failings of the two-party system

So, we might get the service from government that we deserve.  We have looked at the fragility or unsteadiness of the two-party system.  At the time of writing – say, Easter 2022 – each of our two major parties is in a contest to see who stands for the least and which is the worst managed. 

You might do better if you left the running of the system of national government to the members of the Magpies (AFL) or the Bunnies (NRL) – at least they believe in something and they have respectable numbers.

This is part of the problem.  The system depends upon the parties, but it has no real control over their make-up or operation.  This is one part of our government that is truly left to the people.  While we make voting and jury service compulsory – because our whole system depends on them – we leave our political parties at large.  Their membership is just a tiny part of the population and all the evidence suggests that it would be silly to claim that their views reflect those of their community.  Experience tells us that those who seek political advancement in any community rarely represent the views of the group as a whole.  They have a drive to pursue an agenda that sets them apart.

We saw how unrepresentative a party can be when, after the fall of Boris Johnson, the Tory party in England was called upon to ‘elect’ a successor.  Then the party members went through a demeaning farce of imitating American presidential primaries.  The process showed that the MPs had a different view to the party members as to which was the better candidate, after a crude outbreak of populism led to Fairytale promises that looked likely to bankrupt the nation – morally as well as intellectually.  It was as if they had learned something from the Republicans and Donald Trump – some voters positively want to be lied to – provided the lie is big enough and brash enough.  And the underlying assumption of the shambles was that the office of Prime Minister in the U K was in some way presidential.

Neither of the two major parties in Australia now stands on a part of its platform that distinguishes it from the other.  You could swap the platforms and hardly anyone would notice. 

The Man from Snowy River was always a myth.  Australians fear novelty and abhor radicals.  The party that once represented farmers has gone over to the miners – for lucre.  The long age of agrarian socialism is over.  All parties are being consumed by factions – as a result it would seem of standing for nothing.  (Who else are you going to have a fight with?)  The Liberal Party now is fractured to the extent that the Labor Party was sixty years ago.  And that is a large statement.  Neither party is up to fulfilling its function in the two-party system.

And that is a worry.  Government under our system is only as good as the opposition.  In Australia, America and Britain we have seen people elected who were obviously unfit for the job – but who got there just because their opposition could not get their act together.

The result in Australia appears to be a major swing to independent MPs as electors just give up on the two main parties.  That being so, the system is to some extent working – on the principle that nature abhors a vacuum.  The reaction of the intellectually challenged parts of the commentariat was sadly predictable.  The new independent members will drive them mad.   They are educated; they have had real jobs; they are not driven by personal ambition; they are not cruelled by party; they make sense ; and they want to do something for the country.

The lethal collapse of the opposition parties

Some years ago now, I was listening to David Brooks of the NYT talking about how either the Democrats or the Republicans, I forget which, should respond on a political issue.  ‘Why should they do that?’  ‘Because they are Americans.’  I thought that was facile at the time.  But then it looked to be an unanswerable truth.  They should do what was good for their country.  If that course might be against the interests of the party, the country should prevail.

The point is fundamental.  People go into government by being elected, because they want to help govern those who elect them.  The English system came to depend on two major parties.  We and the Americans have adopted that model.  For that purpose, people join, or support, or vote for political parties.  But the original purpose holds.  If the people who are elected think that a policy is bad for the country, they should not support it – or at least give serious attention to their status in both the party and the nation.  A member of a political party cannot in practice treat every issue as one of conscience – neither can they forget what is the whole point of the exercise.

Those who think that the party is more important than the nation should reflect on those whose views they follow.  Like Stalin, Hitler, Franco, Putin, and Xi.

The role that the party has to fulfil in governing depends on whether a majority of the people give them enough votes to prevail in the parliament and so form a government.  That party then provides the government.  The other party provides the opposition.  But the prime function of each remains the same.  They are there to provide government for the people whom they represent by keeping the wheels of government turning on the tracks laid down for that purpose.

What then is the role of the opposition?  The English historian J M Thompson wrote about how ‘the thick fog of party spirit’ infected the French Revolution.   England was very different.  An Englishman was trained –

to exercise his party spirit in the game called the Party System; and among the rules of that game – not always observed as they should be – are the obligation to sink personal differences in party loyalties, not to criticise your opponent’s policies unless you have a better one that you are prepared to carry out yourself, and, in case of a national crisis, to help rather than hinder whatever government may be in power.

You only have to state those rules to see how far we have fallen. 

On the next page, the historian said that ‘majority legislation might be merely partisan, and minority criticism destructive and irresponsible.’  We know all about that in Australia.  Especially on the climate – which is a ‘national crisis’ – and where one side, in government or opposition, was ‘merely destructive and irresponsible’.  They start by denying there is a crisis!  They can’t even see out the window.

Then the Reverend historian – he started in academe as a man of the cloth – made observations about France that prefigured the disaster of the U S today.  He said that this method of governing was made infinitely more harmful by the threat and then the advent of war.

For then, party spirit became patriotism, and patriotism took on the colour of religion.  It became a sacred duty to denounce, to vilify, and destroy.

That looks like just what has happened in the U S.  Americans have always embraced patriotism and religion in ways that make us very queasy here.  And they do just that with ideology – which we would not give tuppence for.  The result is that for God and country, McConnell and his like in the Republicans set out not just to hinder, but to stop the whole process of government.  They stop it and then they send it right off the tracks.  And then they blame the government for the breakdown.

That is – they try to do the exact opposite of what people elected them to do.  For God and the flag – and a lying, cowardly property developer, who refused to serve his country or to pay its taxes – they commit the ultimate breach of trust put in them by the people who voted for them.

The Victorian opposition at present (mid 2022)  is merely inept.  But the federal opposition now looks set to follow the Republican model.  They appear to subscribe to the heresy that the sole function of the opposition is to oppose.  Nothing could be further from the truth – but they appear to be mindlessly set on opposing the government even on policies where the people have clearly rejected the policies of their party.  In doing that, they put our whole system at hazard.

Politics is like a game in one respect.  It depends on people wanting to play and preserve the game.  There must be some underlying level of both forbearance and co-operation, of tolerance and restraint.  People who refuse to play by the rules – or the conventions – of the game put the whole game at risk.  Just look at what one underarm ball did to cricket.  Or what Kyrgios is doing to tennis.  Or what Norman is doing to golf. 

And then look at the 6 January assault last year on the whole government of the United States – and the breathtaking cowardice of the white elders who were put there to protect the peace of the nation.

In the end, I think that the fabric of a communal group – a footy club, a law firm, a city, or a nation – rests on little more than a state of mind.  And that can be a soft target for people of ill will or small minds.

Politics – parties – Liberal and Labor – Republican and Tory – Trump – the proper role of opposition.

Passing Bull 323 – Political fallacies

Most people are aware of the saying that all power corrupts and that absolute power corrupts absolutely.  Lord Acton went on: ‘Great men are almost always bad men.’

Australians tend to think that of the rich.  But the remark shows that the word ‘great’ is confined to appearance.  ‘Great’ men like Alexander, Caesar and Napoleon killed people for their own political purposes.

Miss C V Wedgwood said that powerless also affects us – it can be demoralizing.

More men are undermined by frustration than by success.  Since we cannot attain to greatness…let us have our revenge by railing at it….Since power corrupts, we, who have none, are not corrupted…

That is all very Australian – and MAGA – the salute to mediocrity.

Suspicion of power and suspicion of motive, valuable if held in control, paralyse all human action if they themselves take control.

We are nearing that point here.

It is absurd to confine a gentlemanly distaste for the vulgarity of the political scene with a call to abandon the world… We forget in the smug condemnation of the political world that its standards depend, and always will depend, on the moral quality of the men who go into it.  It is true that saints are rarely found in politics.  But it does not follow that only scoundrels are.

That is plain good sense.  The author remarks that fascism took hold ‘in its most violent forms among those populations which were least politically adult.’  That is a good way to describe Trump and the conspiracy theorists.

The person most to be feared in modern society is the Common Man.  He is, like the Average Man …a figment of the imagination.  It does not make him any the less dangerous…Since the common people came into their own, emphasis on uncommon people has come to be regarded as bad taste. All that was written in England.

Politics – fallacies – fascism – Trump – MAGA – populism.